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Cuckoo For Cocoa Curves

Courtesy of Tyler Durden

As we noted over the weekend, there have been some really cuckoo moves in the cocoa curve, now that someone (Anthony Ward) has been doing everything in their power to sequester all the physical cocoa in the world (literally). The chart below shows the recent moves in the July-Sept European contract spread, which exploded over the past two weeks from 150 to 300, doubling profits for those who were positioned properly with advance knowledge of this front-month squeeze. Now that the July contract has expired, look for some comparably odd action to occur in the September-December European pair. Surprisingly enough, none of these oddities are happening on the US side of the cocoa curve.

Jul-Sept, now defunct:

Sept-Dec: this one will be fun to watch as it either shoots to the moon, should the manipulation continue, or plummets, as profits are taken.

Yet all such forms of blatant market manipulation always end in tears. We remind readers of the sad case of Ebullio Capital Management, which lost 95% in the first two months of 2010, after some comparable shenanigans in the nickel market.

 

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