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Curis – The Hegdehog That Signals Growth

Courtesy of Pharmboy

Biotechnology investing is always a challenge, as many retailer investors buy in on the runs up, only to get hit by the failures of the trials.  Many investors hear of the millions made on investments like DNDN, CELG, and ITMN (until it cratered by the FDA denial), but betting on a company without understanding the science is a sin.  As a scientist, I do not advocate putting large sums into biotech picks, but putting some funds into companies that have a shot (and knowing when to invest) is what I try to do.  Not all will be winners, but if a few are sound in the scientific field, money can be made.  Take our last small biotech pick in the cancer arena, ImmunoGen (IMGN) – it is up from my August 29th writing from $5.75 (high of the day as we got in at a better price) to $7.44.  We used a buy write strategy selling the January $6 Calls and Puts, so as long as IMGN holds $6 through January 2011, one will pocket 33%.  Even selling a covered call would put one up 19%.  This is our objective at PSW, letting investments come to us by doing simple plays and resting easy at night.  I have been talking about Curis in member chat for awhile, and we bought and sold them in the beginning of the year.  I now think the time is right for double dipping and taking a chance on a cancer treatment that could make a splash early next year.

Curis (NASDQ:CRIS) is developing targeted small molecule drug candidates for cancer indications where there are substantial unmet therapeutic needs.  In 2000, Curis began operations in the merger of Creative BioMolecules, Ontogeny and Reprogenesis.

In the Company’s portfolio, the Hedgehog pathway inhibitor program (in collaboration with Genentech/Roche) is its most advanced program with lead small molecule candidate,   GDC-0449.  GDC-0449 is currently being tested in a pivotal Phase II clinical trial in advanced basal cell carcinoma as well as several other trials in collaboration with Genetech and the National Cancer Institute.  More recently, in a Phase II clinical trial in advanced ovarian cancer (as a single agent maintenance therapy), the compound failed to excite Roche in its endpoints, and ‘preliminary findings from the primary analysis of the study warrant additional investigation to clarify and interpret potential clinical activity of the drug candidate
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ImmunoGen – A Little Rock that Could be a Diamond

ImmunoGen (IMGN) shares were down on heavy volume Friday after a the FDA derailed a lead product, T-DM1, by issuing a decision to issue a "refuse to file" letter for proposed breast cancer treatment.  Whilst it creates a setback for the short term, it opens the door for PSW members to get in on a stock that has huge potential in the cancer arena for significant gains.

ImmunoGen (IMGN) develops targeted anticancer drugs using its proprietary tumor-activated prodrug (Taxane-Based Tumor-Activated Prodrug – aka TAP) technology.  What’s so special about the techology?   The mAb enables a TAP compound to bind specifically to cancer cells that express a particular target antigen and the cytotoxic agent serves to kill the cancer cell.  What are taxanes?  Taxanes are diterpenes produced by the plants of the genus Taxus  (yews).  Taxanes include paclitaxel (Taxol) and docetaxel (Taxotere).  The principal mechanism of the taxane class of drugs is the disruption of microtubule function. It does this by stabilizing GDP-bound tubulin in the microtubule. Microtubules are essential to cell division, and taxanes therefore stop this – a "frozen mitosis". Thus, taxanes are essentially mitotic inhibitors. In contrast to the taxanes, the vinca alkaloids (vincristine and vinblastine) destroy mitotic spindles. Both, taxanes and vinca alkaloids are therefore named spindle poisons or mitosis poisons, but they act in different ways.

Figure 1.  Depicts a cell going through mitosis (cell division).

IMGN out-licenses its TAP technology to other companies (Amgen, Biogen-Idec, Centicor, Genentech, Sanofi, and others) for use with their proprietary antibodies to specific targets.   The TAP technology addresses two critical components for companies pursuing monoclonal antibody (mAb) therapeutics: enhancing the yields from development programs by creating new products and/or providing product franchise life extension.  Go here to see the show.  ImmunoGen is currently studying several product candidates:

  •  First, trastuzumab-DM1, or T-DM1 for short, is for women with advanced HER2-positive breast cancer who have previously received multiple HER2-targeted medicines and chemotherapies, including Genentech’s Herceptin.  A mid-stage study of the drug showed that it shrank tumors in women with HER2-positive breast cancer, a form of the malignancy in which the protein, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2, promotes the growth of cancer cells. Now, the FDA reviewed Roche’s application for the drug, and the company is beginning several mid-stage and late-stage trials to test how the drug stacks up to combination therapies that pair other drugs and


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Phil's Favorites

Jobless Claims Improve, Leading Indicators Decline: Economic Report Card

Courtesy of John Nyaradi.

Jobless claims improve while leading indicators decline in today’s economic report card

by Wall Street Sector Selector Staff

Weekly jobless claims declined to 424,000 from last week’s 432, 000 but stubbornly stayed above the all important 400,000 level for another week.

August Leading Indicators came in at +0.3% compared to 0.5% for July, as the economy continues registering weakness.

Good news came from July Home Prices which rose to +0.8% from the previously reported +0.7%.

But the biggest economic news of the week came yesterday when the Federal Reserve said it saw  “significant downside risks to the economic outlook, including strains in global financial markets.”

Global stock markets responded negatively yesterday an...



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Insider Scoop

Priceline.com Trades Higher on Q1 Earnings Results (PCLN)

Courtesy of Benzinga

Shares of Priceline.com Incorporated (NASDAQ: PCLN) are trading higher in the after-hours following the release of its Q1 earnings results. Currently, shares are up 2.74%, trading at $548.60; they closed the regular session down 0.67 %, at $533.97.

The company said that its Q1 EPS came in at $2.66 on revenues of $809.3 million; this compares to the Street's estimate of $2.46 per share on revenues of $779.5 million. Revenues rose 38.6% year over year.

"In the 1st quarter, the Group benefited from strong growth in our global hotel business, particularly at Booking.com and Agoda," said Jeffery H. Boyd, Priceline President and Chief Executive Officer.

He added, "Room nights booked grew by 55.8% and our international gross bookings grew by 79% compared to prior year...



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Zero Hedge

Fukushima Explosion Update: Core Presumed Intact As Sea Water Used To Bring Temperature Down, Radiation Level At 1015 Microsieverts/Hour

Courtesy of Tyler Durden

The damage control to the Fukushima explosion reported earlier is coming fast and furious. According to CNN, "the explosion at an earthquake-damaged nuclear plant was not caused by damage to the nuclear reactor but by a pumping system that failed as crews tried to bring the reactor's temperature down, Chief Cabinet Secretary Yukio Edano said Saturday. The next step for workers at the Fukushima Daiichi plant will be to flood the reactor containment structure with sea water to bring the reactor's temperature down to safe levels, he said. The effort is expected to take two days." While the government is trying to play down the threat from the explosion, it has nonetheless double the evacuation zone radius from 10 to 20 kilometers: "Radiation levels have fallen since the explosion and there is no immediate danger, Edano said. But authorities were nevertheless expanding the evacuation ...



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Chart School

The Mega-Bear Quartet and L-Shaped "Recoveries"

Courtesy of Doug Short

Note from dshort: I retired this chart series last summer in deference to my prefered inflation-adjusted series that aligns the S&P 500 2000 high with the Nikkei peak in 1989. However, I continue to receive requests for this version, despite the "V" shape of the the recovery since the March 2009 low. This chart series overlays the current S&P 500 with the L-shaped "recoveries" after the Dow Crash of 1929, the Nikkei 225 after Japan's 1989 bubble, and the post Tech Bubble NASDAQ. Click the chart below for a larger version and use the links to see various comparisons.


Click for a larger image

I've ...



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Sabrient

Sabrient Risers - 3/12/2011

Top 5 RisersStockRatingAnalysisVLOSTRONGBUYAn increasingly positive growth rate of past earnings, along with improving expectations for long term growth, make Valero a good prospect for high returns.KROSTRONGBUYKronos Worldwide has been gaining recognition from analysts as a good canditate for achieving higher than expected earnings along with higher overall projected valuation.SFIBUYiStar is one of the top candidates projected to achieve both higher than previously projected earnings in the short run and a higher earnings growth rate in the long run.AMATSTRONGBUYApplied Materials has been...

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Option Review

Bulls Scoop Up Sprint Nextel Corp. Calls

 Today’s tickers: S, FTR, JTX & SBUX

...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of March 7th, 2011

This post is for live trades and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current virtual trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here

Optrader 

Swing trading portfolio

 

One trade portfolio

...

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Stock World Weekly

Stock World Weekly

Here's the newest Stock World Weekly:  Illusion Based on a Fantasy 

Comments welcome... share your thoughts. 

Download Newsletter 3/6/11


Stock World Weekly archives here >

...

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Pharmboy

Biotech Junkies Update and Momenta Pharma Moving Forward

February is now past, and the Biotech Porfolio is loaded with winners and a miss (PLX).  MRK is down a bit, but I expect that trade to recover, and one could be more agressive and double down on it, or play another round at the Jan13 $30 options for roughly the same price.  Below is the summary, and note the grey boxes are ones that did not fill.  I am still a fan of BMRN, and like DEPO as well.  Now let's look at a few others.

Table 1.  PSW Biotech Plays Since January 2011

 

Our newest play is Momenta Pharmaceuticals (MNTA), who is pursuing a three-part business model which includes complex generic equivalents in partnership with the Sandoz division of Novartis, proprietary compounds, and follow-on- biologics (FOB).  It seems that this company is tied up in competition/litigation wit...



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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the Favorites backup site (blogroll, archives, more). Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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