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Swing trading live portfolio

The purpose of this portfolio is to teach how to become consistently profitable by following some basic trend-following strategies. All trades are posted and updated live in the portfolio, as well as in the daily post/comments.

In the comments we also discuss each position as well as strategies. Our focus is on discipline and money management. Our goal is to show that by keeping losses very small and letting run our winners it is easy to be profitable in the long-run.

Summary of our strategy

  • Most of the trades are directional, naked options or stock. Sometimes we trade vertical spreads or more complicated positions for earning plays.
  • This portfolio is targeted to trades that we usually hold between 2-3 days and a couple of weeks.

  • All trades are posted live in the portfolio as soon as they are entered and in the comments as well.
  • We use different strategies in this portfolio, one of them being the 5MA strategy. But we do not trade this strategy only. Most of our trades are based on technicals, support/resistance, patterns, candlesticks, pivot points etc. The constant is that we always define our stop when we enter the trade and we always respect risk management and position sizing.
  • For most positions, unless indicated, we buy ATM or slightly ITM naked calls or puts. We usually buy one month out, and never hold current month options 2 weeks before expiration.
  • R is how much we risk on each position. It is the difference between the entry price and the stop.
  • R should not be more than 2% to 5% of your portfolio.
  • R is constant. It means that we should always lose the same amount when our stop is hit. If we risk 2% of your portfolio on each trade and our portfolio is $100K, then we should ALWAYS lose $2k when we get stopped-out. And it does not matter if the stock dropped 20% or 1% from our entry.
  • By defining our stop and our risk BEFORE we enter each trade, we can then calculate the number of contracts we need to buy to keep our loss at 1R when we get stopped-out.

An example of how we calculate position size:

Let’s say we buy AAPL calls when AAPL is at $152.25.

$151 is our stop.

Delta of the May $155’s is 0.50

Our total account is $25,000

Our risk on this trade is 2% of $25,000 or $500

Our risk is $1.25 on the stock

Our risk or maximum loss per option is $0.625, which 0.5 (delta) X $1.25 (risk on stock).

The number of contracts we should buy is our total risk divided by the risk per option: $500/(0.625*100) = 8

 

 

Phil's Favorites

Greece risks financial Armageddon while Ireland makes cuts

Greece risks financial Armageddon while Ireland makes cuts

Courtesy of Edward Harrison at Credit Writedowns

The Irish government announced draconian spending cuts of 6 billion Euros in order to stave off a debt crisis in the worst modern-day downturn in the nation’s history.  Even so, Irish government bond yields have been rising relative to German government bond yields, the benchmark for the Eurozone.  Over the past five years the spread had averaged about 40bps. Now it is 170b...



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Zero Hedge

Guest Post: Gossip From The Wall Street Journal's Future Of Finance Initiative

Courtesy of Tyler Durden

Submitted by Janet Tavakoli, via Huffington Post

Last week I was a participant in the Wall Street Journal's Future of Finance Initiative in England. WSJ has written a summary of the conference highlights, and missed some key points. Allow me to fill in the blanks.

Paul Volcker, former Fed Chairman and current Chair of the President's Economic Advisory Board, made the most worthwhile comments. Moral hazard was not discussed in the open forums, so Volcker reminded the assembly...



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Chart School

On the Value in Housing

On the Value in Housing

Courtesy of Jake at Econompic Data  

Felix Salmon recently made the case in his post Against Liquidity:

Investing shouldn’t be about safety: it should be about calculated risk.

and...

Liquidity is not ever and always a good thing.

And I completely agree. But both of those points seem to be in conflict with a more recent post of his more from Chart School

Trading Goddess

Options and My Patience Expire Today

Well now we're officially cashed out!


As I always do before options expiration I reviewed our Buy List, which, this quarter, is a list of 37 stocks we've been playing since late December and, sadly, after reviewing 37 of our favorite investments very carefully this week - I could only conclude that cashing them out was the only decision I could be comfortable with this week. Of 66 trades we had on our 37 stocks, 64 are winners with an average return since 2/8 of 28% - since most of the trades were designed to make 40% for the year - it just seems silly not to take the money and run now, on March 19th.


You are not supposed to have 64 out of 66 winners in 6 weeks, you are not supposed to make 3/4 of what you anticipate for the year in 6 weeks - that is NOT how the markets are supposed to work! When the ma...



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Oxen Group Trades

The Oxen Report: Jobless Claims and Trade Balance to Direct Market Movement

Hey all. I apologize for missing yesterday. We are back on today. Tuesday was a semi-okay day. We continued our short sale of AMD, which we got stopped out on for a 3% loss at 6.65. The sto...



more from David

The Options Report

By Andrew Wilkinson


Japanese ETF Options Active (After Philstockworld's Thursday Pick)

Today’s tickers: EWJ, RX, UUP, DRI, IMAX, SFD & AET

EWJ - iShares MSCI Japan Index Fund – Shares of the Japan exchange-traded fund rose 0.3% today to $9.92. The roughly 125,000 contracts exchanged on the fund today is likely the work of one investor adjusting previously established positions. The trader may be unraveling a portion of a bearish risk reversal established back in late-September. It appears 62,500 puts were sold at the March 10 strike for 53 cents apiece, spread against the purchase of the same number of calls at the January 2011 12 strike for 24 cents premium each. The technically bullish direction of the risk reversal play is possibly a closing transaction given the large levels of existing open interest at each strike described above.

more from Andrew

Insider Zone


INSIDERS REMAIN DOUBTFUL OF THE RALLY

INSIDERS REMAIN DOUBTFUL OF THE RALLY

Courtesy of The Pragmatic Capitalist

Few things have been more confounding over the course of the 60% rally than the lack of insider conviction with regards to purchasing their own stocks.  The latest data on insider selling and buying continues to show alarmingly low levels of buying accompanied by very high levels of selling.  As we continue to see the very weak rebound in revenues and non-existent hiring it has become more and more clear why insiders lack conviction in their own shares – after all, without a rebound in hiring and organic revenue growth ...


http://www.insidercow.com/ more from Insider

OpTrader


Swing trading portfolio - week of December 14th, 2009

This post is for live trades and daily comments. 

To learn more about the swing trading portfolio (strategy, membership etc.), please click here

- Optrader

...

more from OpTrader


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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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